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Obama02

A couple of days before Inauguration Day for Barack Obama’s second term, Noam Chomsky had a damning indictment for the President. As  a “man without a moral center,” he characterized him in an interview with Al Jazeera. Inauguration will be on Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday this year, commemorating the birthday of a true Nobel Peace Prize laureate. Chomsky is only one of thousands or millions of intellectuals who are bitterly disappointed about the former beacon of hope.

“If you look at his policies I think that’s [no moral center] what they reveal. I mean there’s some nice rhetoric here and there but when you look at the actual policies … the drone assassination campaign is a perfectly good example, I mean it’s just a global assassination campaign.” (Emphasis added.)

No, he can’t. Guantanamo has to be closed by his successor or will be running forever. His unavailing escalating the war in Afghanistan. The disposition matrix and his drone war which will permanently demolish his image as one who wanted to fight terror with terror. And not at least his relentless prosecution of whistle-blowers. There is no hope for Palestinians as Israel continues unhindered by Obama’s administration its illegal settlements in the West Bank and shells Gaza once again immediately after his re-election. No hope for the Iranian people after dishonest offers in the beginning and as illegal unilateral sanctions are grossly expanded as the result of Iran’s denial to buckle upon categorical demands to abandon its peaceful nuclear program. There seems to be no hope for any of the revolutions in the Arab world.

19 January 2013 @ 8:05 pm.

Last modified January 20, 2013.

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How President Obama would address, in his speech on recent developments in the Middle East, the three key players, which have not participated in any constructive way in what is called the Arab Uprising, was in fact quite interesting.

First Iran. Well, the current power struggle between President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his rapidly shrinking support gang on one side and the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and most of the clergy on the other, which escalated after the Guardian Council’s disapproval of Ahmadinejad’s aspirations toward caretaker Minister of Oil, apparently does not deserve much attention any more. Well, Obama, for instance in his historic speech in Cairo only one week before Iran’s contested presidential election of June 12, 2009, which ended in the almost complete silencing of any opposition group, had offered dialogue with Iran,

“I recognize it will be hard to overcome decades of mistrust, but we will proceed with courage, rectitude, and resolve. There will be many issues to discuss between our two countries, and we are willing to move forward without preconditions on the basis of mutual respect.” 

These times are definitely over. What he had said in Cairo, well, it had in general not been meant so seriously, I am afraid. It has not really been taken into consideration by the U.S. Administration that the people in Tunis, Cairo, Benghazi, Bahrain, Sana’a, to name but a few of the uprisings, would finally, in 2011, take him at his nice words. What Obama has now to say on Iran (and its strongest ally Syria) is the following:

“Thus far Syria has followed its Iranian ally, seeking assistance from Tehran in the tactics of suppression. This speaks to the hypocrisy of the Iranian regime, which says it stand for the rights of protesters abroad, yet suppresses its people at home. Let us remember that the first peaceful protests were in the streets of Tehran, where the government brutalized women and men, and threw innocent people into jail. We still hear the chants echo from the rooftops of Tehran. The image of a young woman dying in the streets is still seared in our memory. And we will continue to insist that the Iranian people deserve their universal rights, and a government that does not smother their aspirations.

Our opposition to Iran’s intolerance – as well as its illicit nuclear program, and its sponsorship of terror – is well known. But if America is to be credible, we must acknowledge that our friends in the region have not all reacted to the demands for change consistent with the principles that I have outlined today.”

Well, illicit or not; sponsoring or not. Talking about Iran’s hypocrisy might indeed be somewhat frivolous. Isn’t it hypocritical, too, when Obama had claimed, only minutes earlier, “As we did in the Gulf War, we will not tolerate aggression across borders, and we will keep our commitments to friends and partners,” given the fact of two more or less failed wars in Iraq and Afghanistan with hundreds of thousands civilian casualties and current bombardments in Libya, Pakistan, the Yemen, and elsewhere; and America’s and the World’s ultimate foe’s assassination on foreign territory?

Obama also claims that “Iran has tried to take advantage of the turmoil in [predominantly Shi’ite] Bahrain,” for which there is actually not a shred of evidence either. But his surprising condemnation of Bahrain’s government which, with the help of troops sent by several Arab dictators, brutally cracked down Shi’ite protests in Manama’s Pearl Square leads us in fact to Saudi Arabia. Remarkably, Obama does not mention that Kingdom with word in his speech on Moments of Opportunity. Bahrain, vis-à-vis Iran and home of the U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet, is too important an ally to fall to America’s arch foe in the region. So, Saudi Arabia’s and the UAE’s violent intervention early in March, only hours after Minister of Defense Robert Gates had left the island after talks with its Sunni leader King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa seeking a solution for the ongoing protests there, must be regarded as, in principle, highly welcome. That particular solution might have even been hatched in the talks between Al Khalifa and Gates.

Does his mentioning of women’s rights address in particular Saudi Arabia?

“What is true for religious minorities is also true when it comes to the rights of women. History shows that countries are more prosperous and more peaceful when women are empowered. And that’s why we will continue to insist that universal rights apply to women as well as men – by focusing assistance on child and maternal health; by helping women to teach, or start a business; by standing up for the right of women to have their voices heard, and to run for office. The region will never reach its full potential when more than half of its population is prevented from achieving their full potential.” (Emphasis added.)

Probably; women are not even supposed to drive a car in the Salafi kingdom. Whether history has shown “that countries are more prosperous and more peaceful when women are empowered” may not apply to the recent past, think for instance of Golda Meir, Indira Gandhi, Maggie Thatcher, Condi Rice, Hillary Clinton; or Germany’s Angela Merkel who travelled in 2002 to Washington in order to denounce former Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder’s denial of German “adventures” in Iraq.

The third key player addressed was Israel. Prime Minister Netanyahu’s outcry, who was probably already on his way to Washington, was apparently desired when Obama mentioned a two-state solution of the 63-yr Israel/Palestine problem within the boundaries of 1967. Honestly, how should that be accomplished else? Netanyahu’s ranting and, well, desperate contribution in the press conference which followed bilateral talks between him and the American President after his speech indicate that here Obama may have made an impact. When Netanyahu stresses that,

“The third reality [after 1967 boundaries would be unacceptable for Israel; and negotiations with Palestinian radical-Islamic Hamas, which questions Israel’s right to exist, cannot be done] is that the Palestinian refugee problem will have to be resolved in the context of a Palestinian state, but certainly not in the borders of Israel. 

The Arab attack in 1948 on Israel resulted in two refugee problems – Palestinian refugee problem and Jewish refugees, roughly the same number, who were expelled from Arab lands.  Now, tiny Israel absorbed the Jewish refugees, but the vast Arab world refused to absorb the Palestinian refugees.  Now, 63 years later, the Palestinians come to us and they say to Israel, accept the grandchildren, really, and the great grandchildren of these refugees, thereby wiping out Israel’s future as a Jewish state,”

he actually uses certain disingenuous language of his arch foe, Iranian President Ahmadinejad. As a brief reminder, tiny Israel possesses nuclear weapons. As a matter of fact, Israel has, by enforcing its illicit settlement policy in the West Bank, rather wiped out Palestine, probably once and forever.

In view of Obama’s apparent intention of pushing the Middle East peace process without further paying attention to attempts of further delay by the old warhorse, Netanyahu’s speech to the U.S. Congress next Tuesday might be a war declaration.

Last modified May 21, 2011.

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While the Middle East is burning these days, one might wonder whether the uprisings, after Arab revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt, in Algeria, Morocco, Libya, Bahrain, Yemen; again in Iran are due to a domino effect. Autocratic governments (a Western euphemism for brutal dictatorships) are shaking and may in fact fall. Libya seems to experience a civil war already. Graphic footage from Bahrain, where the army’s mercenaries had been killing unarmed protesters at Pearl roundabout, just indicates that the tiny island in the Persian Gulf, which hosts the Fifth Fleet, is too precious for the U.S. to be hijacked by Shi’ites demonstrating for freedom and democracy in the kingdom.

Well, one might carefully read again the hollow phrases by President Obama when in Cairo in June 2009, only a couple of days before Iran’s disputed election took millions to the streets in protest. Obama, whose nice words have earned him a Nobel Peace Prize later that year, has been caught on the back foot when Tunisia and Egypt almost fell last month (the story isn’t over yet). America’s hypocrisy culminated last week when Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remarked on Iran’s cruel crackdown of recently again blazing protests in Tehran and other cities, heavily been incited by Twitter attacks from the U.S., as hypocrisy but kept more or less silent on similar and even more frightening crackdowns in Bahrain

Let’s listen to Obama on June 4, 2009 in Cairo. There are a few interesting parts which deserve, in particular in retrospect, some comments. What did he say about revolutions?

“The United States has been one of the greatest sources of progress that the world has ever known. We were born out of revolution against an empire. We were founded upon the ideal that all are created equal, and we have shed blood and struggled for centuries to give meaning to those words — within our borders, and around the world.  We are shaped by every culture, drawn from every end of the Earth, and dedicated to a simple concept:  E pluribus unum – ‘Out of many, one.’” (Emphasis added.)

Obama certainly doesn’t invite his audience at Cairo University to revolt. It is Eurocentric hubris he is talking about. As we have seen in 1989 in Eastern Europe, revolutions may happen right now, anytime. Not to mention the one with its undesired outcome in Iran in 1979. Is it possible that his remarks had been taken seriously, as a challenge for an uprising one and a half year later? The fact of the matter is that the Muslim world is plagued by numerous autocratic dictatorships and most are anything else but strong U.S. allies, which is the sole superpower after the Cold War, the present day ‘Empire.’ Did Obama take that into consideration in his speech? Probably not really. Now, what did he say about democracy?

“The fourth issue that I will address is democracy. (Applause.)

I know – I know there has been controversy about the promotion of democracy in recent years, and much of this controversy is connected to the war in Iraq. So let me be clear: No system of government can or should be imposed by one nation by any other.
 
That does not lessen my commitment, however, to governments that reflect the will of the people. Each nation gives life to this principle in its own way, grounded in the traditions of its own people. America does not presume to know what is best for everyone, just as we would not presume to pick the outcome of a peaceful election. But I do have an unyielding belief that all people yearn for certain things: the ability to speak your mind and have a say in how you are governed; confidence in the rule of law and the equal administration of justice; government that is transparent and doesn’t steal from the people; the freedom to live as you choose. These are not just American ideas; they are human rights. And that is why we will support them everywhere.”  

In fact, leaked by WikiLeaks cables from U.S. Embassies in Tunis, Tripoli and Cairo, Sana’a and elsewhere have painted a different picture. That these Embassies are working smoothly and well in America’s interest has become apparent. That the U.S. supports the ruling dictators in one way or the other, too. Disclosure of the latter is the huge threat for the administration not the former.

About human rights he said,

“Now, there is no straight line to realize this promise. But this much is clear: Governments that protect these rights are ultimately more stable, successful and secure.  Suppressing ideas never succeeds in making them go away. America respects the right of all peaceful and law-abiding voices to be heard around the world, even if we disagree with them. And we will welcome all elected, peaceful governments – provided they govern with respect for all their people.”

He is almost begging for revolts when promising that those craving for human rights and democracy will be heard and supported by America. I suppose, he wasn’t aware of playing with fire here.

“This last point is important because there are some who advocate for democracy only when they’re out of power; once in power, they are ruthless in suppressing the rights of others. So no matter where it takes hold, government of the people and by the people sets a single standard for all who would hold power: You must maintain your power through consent, not coercion; you must respect the rights of minorities, and participate with a spirit of tolerance and compromise; you must place the interests of your people and the legitimate workings of the political process above your party. Without these ingredients, elections alone do not make true democracy.”

When finally addressing those of his allies who brutally oppress their own people (or was it only Nouri al-Maliki and Hamid Karzai?) they have not even listened in the upcoming one and a half years. Mubarak and Co probably took it as it was meant,  nice but hollow phrases. 

Note: Obama quoted (inter alia) from surah 33 (al-Ahzâb), 70-71.

Last modified February 21, 2011.

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While Cairo is rocked for the fifth day in succession by an uprising of its people which ultimately will send its dictator president Hosni Mubarak packing in a similar way as Tunisia’s dictator Ben Ali earlier this month, WikiLeaks has posted a confidential diplomatic cable of January 15, 2009, regarding the brutality of the police in Egypt, physical violence against even females and torture to extort convicts confessions and torture against members of the Muslim Brotherhood which is considered a political threat. Police brutality is, according to contacts, attributed to “poor training, understaffing and official sanction.” Some policemen might even “believe that Islamic law sanctions torture.” The cable further states that,

¶7. (C) Contacts agree that in the past five years, the government has stopped denying that torture exists and has taken some steps to address the problem. However, contacts believe that the Interior Ministry lacks the political will to take substantive action to change the culture of police brutality. XXXXXXXXXXXX asserted that following alleged standing orders from the Interior Ministry between 2000 and 2006 for the police to shoot, beat and humiliate judges in order to undermine judicial independence, the GOE made a political decision in 2007 to allow the courts to sentence police officers to short prison terms. XXXXXXXXXXXX described the 2007 Imad El-Kebir case as a turning point in influencing the government to permit the sentencing of police officers.”

Another cable of February 23, 2009, is summarizing a meeting of Senator Joe Lieberman and unofficial crown prince Gamal Mubarak on February 17. Lieberman, now an “independent Democrat”, had endorsed Republican candidate John McCain in the U.S. presidential campaign of 2008, not Obama. He has recently announced to retire next year from senate.

It is interesting to read both diplomatic cables from Cairo carefully. Lieberman was allegedly seeking “advice” from Gamal for a solution of a number of problems of the region, for instance, Gaza after the 2008/2009 war; Iran’s attempt to exploit “the current split within Arab ranks between ‘moderate (Egypt, Saudi Arabia) and ‘radical’ (Syria and Qatar);” and whether and how “to engage” with Iran. That this sort of small talk might in any way be informative for Lieberman might in fact be doubted. It shows, anyway, the “insider view” of somebody who many expected to become Egypt’s next dictator; of course, before the anti-government demonstrations turned into riots with at the moment 25 at least 74 fatal casualties.

¶4. (C) Senator Lieberman asked Gamal if he thought the United States should re-engage with Iran. ‘As long as Ahmedinejad is there, I am skeptical,’ Gamal responded. Senator Lieberman said he shared that skepticism, but explained that the new administration believes the U.S. should try to engage the Iranians, but no clear strategy has yet emerged in Washington; Dennis Ross has been tasked with ‘reviewing’ the situation. The one thing that is clear, Gamal stressed, is that by removing Saddam, the U.S. opened the door for Iran to flex its muscles and spread its influence throughout the region. ‘Like it or not, Saddam was a stumbling block to Iranian aspirations. His fall led directly to an increase in Iranian influence on the region.’ Now, it is all the more important not to send a message of weakness to the Iranians, Gamal said, ‘neither from the U.S., nor from the moderates in the region.’ We cannot “concede to their policy of aggression.’

¶5. (C) There are many in the region, Gamal explained, who believe that the U.S. was weakened by its actions in Iraq, and that Iran was strengthened. Furthermore, there is a perception that the U.S. has been hurt by the economic crisis and that it will be more inward looking for the next few years. Therefore, the Americans, it is said, will deal with problems in the region in a ‘less confrontational’ fashion, and ‘may be willing to compromise. Iran is working hard to convince others that this is the case.’ This creates a very dangerous situation for moderate states like Egypt, Gamal stressed. Noting that there was some truth in this analysis, particularly concerning the economic straits the U.S. is in, Senator Lieberman said that the U.S. will nonetheless engage in an even more aggressive Middle East foreign policy than previously, as evidenced by President Obama’s choice of Secretary Clinton and Special Envoy Mitchell. Gamal welcomed this reassurance, noting that the GCC states in particular are ‘terrified’ of Iran. Just the previous week, he said, an Iranian general had said publicly that Bahrain ‘has always been part of Iran,’ as well as the Tunb Islands.

¶6. (C) Senator Lieberman then asked Gamal for his assessment of Qatari behavior. They are coordinating closely with Syria and Iran, Gamal said, ‘in an orchestrated attack on Egypt and other moderate Arab states.’ Qatar has enabled Hamas to hamper every effort we have made to cement a ceasefire in Gaza. For some reason, Qatar seems to want to play the role of spoiler, Gamal surmised. ‘Even regarding the March 2nd Gaza conference we are hosting, they have called for another Arab only meeting in Doha just two days before.’ In response to Senator Lieberman’s question as to Qatari motives, Gamal responded, ‘They just want a place at the table, no matter what.’”

The small Gulf island Bahrain has actually been Persian until the late 18th century. Its seventy per cent Shi’ite majority is heavily oppressed by its Sunni rulers. Shi’ite demonstrations have been cracked-down by the regime before parliamentary elections last year. About the dispute on the Tunbs one may read a bit here. That Gamal mentions Qatar in a row with Syria, describing its Salafi rulers as “radical’, might surprise. The tiny Gulf emirate is generally considered a strong ally of the U.S. On the other hand, Tehran and Doha had signed in February 2010 a defense cooperation agreement stressing that the two countries will expand their cooperation in training and conduct joint campaigns against terrorism and insecurity in the region. Qatar’s Prime Minister has publicly given support to Iran’s right for developing nuclear technology within its peaceful nuclear program. A diplomatic cable of December 21, 2009 from Doha, which was posted by WikiLeaks on the very day the Cablegate leaks commenced (November 28, 2010) and which describes preparations of the Prime Minister’s visit in Washington in January 2010 may reflect American nervous concerns regarding the “working relationship with Iran, given the natural gas reserves [Qatar] share[s] with Iran.” On the agenda for the upcoming visit a question was put, “How best do you think we can persuade Iran to give up its military nuclear aims without military confrontation?”

But back to the Cairo cables. In his talk with Lieberman, former international banker Gamal mentions Egypt’s far better shape regarding its economic situation than expected after the global financial crisis. Inflation was quite low, and the banking sector had thoroughly been overhauled a couple of years ago. “We are bound to feel the brunt of [the financial crisis] eventually.” He made even some suggestions for bolder measures by the United States to end the crisis to which Lieberman seems to agree in a way. In 2009 Egypt still seemed a reliable partner in the Middle East.

As a final note, Senator Lieberman is among those American politicians who have targeted WikiLeaks, in particular its founder Julian Assange, and even the New York Times for publishing the leaks most. Glenn Greenwald has compared Lieberman with Chinese dictators when it comes to the American Constitution’s First Amendment. There is certainly much relief  after he had announced to retire in 2012.

Last modified January 29, 2011.

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A Personal Note

I have recently been pretty active on this blog. Today, I have changed the design and hope that my readers will find it much better readable. My two main topics so far have been the situation in Iran way before and well after the revolution, as well as general issues regarding the Middle East, a region which always had and certainly will ever have an enormous impact on global politics.

I thank all those who have commented on particular posts and would be delighted if we could start some in-depth discussions. Since I am no more living in the Middle East, I want to welcome in particular personal experiences and opinions based on profound knowledge.

Fahad


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