Finding the Right Time

Posted on May 19, 2026 by Muller

Sure, Trump is itching to strike. There is no other way out of the impasse over the Strait of Hormuz. And deep inside, he knows he has caused the mess. Boots on the ground have been attempted on Easter and it terribly failed. Trump was said to have screamed for hours at his aides and actually kept in a separate room during the operation. So, no ground troops anymore.

The above meme was posted yesterday. It seems that Trump considers pushing this time the Red Button, a physical card carrying constantly updated access codes for launching a nuclear weapon.

And yet, last night he posted on Truth Social,

I have been asked by the Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, and the President of the United Arab Emirates, Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, to hold off on our planned Military attack of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which was scheduled for tomorrow, in that serious negotiations are now taking place, and that, in their opinion, as Great Leaders and Allies, a Deal will be made, which will be very acceptable to the United States of America, as well as all Countries in the Middle East, and beyond. This Deal will include, importantly, NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS FOR IRAN! Based on my respect for the above mentioned Leaders, I have instructed Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, The Chairman of The Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Daniel Caine, and The United States Military, that we will NOT be doing the scheduled attack of Iran tomorrow, but have further instructed them to be prepared to go forward with a full, large scale assault of Iran, on a moment’s notice, in the event that an acceptable Deal is not reached. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP

So, he has been asked by leaders of the Gulf monarchies. They probably have to read Trump’s tweets, too, to find out what they asked him for. TACO Tuesday?

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Did Trump Abandon Taiwan?

Posted on May 16, 2026 by Muller

In his Fox News Interview after his return from China, President Trump said,

“When you look at the odds, China is very, very powerful, big country. That’s a very small island. Think of it, it’s 59 miles away. We’re 9500 miles away. That’s a little bit of a difficult problem. Taiwan was developed because we had presidents that didn’t know what the hell they were doing. They stole our chip industry.”

That means, Trump has understood China’s paramount Leader Xi Jinping’s warning that Beijing and Washington will “have clashes and even conflicts” if the issue is not handled properly, the Thucydides Trap. the risk for war when an emerging power threatens to displace an existing superpower. It’s interesting that Xi every now and then mentions it in the context of the US-China relationship.

Russia’s Putin is about to visit Xi next week, just days after Trump has left. They will certainly discuss the Ukraine, Taiwan and Iran.

President Trump won’t interfere when Xi will put more pressure on Taiwan in China’s sphere of influence. Trump has not officially stopped weapons sales to Taiwan but is currently withholding approval of a major arms package. 

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Empty-handed Trump

Posted on May 15, 2026 by Muller

Wishful President Donald Trump has said that China pledged not to arm Iran and that Iran should not possess nuclear weapons. None can be found in Chinese Government official announcements. There is no new treaty, no official pledge.

China seeks economic collaboration with Iran and offers diplomatic support rather than provide military support. Xi made that probably very clear in his discussions with Trump.

It is, on the other hand, longstanding Chinese conviction that Iran remains a non-nuclear-weapon state party to the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty. Thus, Iran has the right to peaceful nuclear technology. It’s very clear that China stays committed to the framework of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) as the basis for a new consensus.

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A World Beyond Fossiles

Posted on May 14, 2026 by Muller

Why is everyone so desperate to get the Strait of Hormuz open as it was before the US American/Israeli war of choice against Iran? Why can’t measured World leaders see the big advantage, a chance to finally (and actually almost too late) free us from deadly dependence on corrupt Gulf monarchies with regard to oil and gas?

Just consider practicing much more cognitive dissonance reduction. I suppose shutting down the choke point in the Middle East for oil and gas would actually be the best for our serious attempts to address climate change, if there are any.

A radical turn, not whiny insistence without alternative due to (as discussed mainly in hopelessly backward Germany) low wind speeds, low sunlight (in the dark months of wintertime), lack of charging stations, ugly wind turbines, and whatnot?

Iran may actually do us a big favour. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps released the above map on May 5 which had been misinterpreted by most western politicians. Although, in the beginning, fears were spread by Iranian spokespersons Iran could keep the Strait of Hormuz closed “forever”. But that actually applied to hostile vessels only.

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Could Iran Win the ESC?

Posted on May 12, 2026 by Muller

My first thought was, when I saw this a couple of weeks ago, Do they want to participate in the ESC? No, certainly not. This is just making fun of it (western pop culture) on a very high level. This is propaganda with numerous truths, in contrast to Trump’s Truth Social platform, a truly Orwellian name.

Here are the lyrics.

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