… it is not even clear whether Donald Trump is playing a game at all. I have seen some clips of yesterday’s Ultimate Fighting Championship, or UFC, event at the White House with a grim-looking President. A vulgar entertainment on his 80th birthday.
I got the impression that he had to compensate his frustration by identifying himself with the “winner” (“right in the face”) after the “deal” he has reached with Iran. A “memorandum of understanding”, MoU, of which we have not seen an official document. Various draft versions are circulated anyway. Middle East Spectator has posted the alleged three phases of the agreement on Telegram.
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 The Iran-U.S. Memorandum of Understanding: Full Details
Phase 1 | Upon announcement of the MoU (effective immediately):
– Upon announcement of the MoU, both sides declare an immediate, complete and permanent end to all hostilities in the region, including Lebanon.
– Upon announcement of the MoU, the United States declares the immediate and complete lifting of the U.S. naval blockade against Iran.
Phase 2 | After Signing of the MoU (30-day period):
– Upon signing the MoU, the United States confirms its commitment to non-interference in Iran’s domestic affairs and respect for the sovereignty of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
– Upon signing the MoU, the United States affirms that it will not increase the amount of troops or military assets present in the region, nor impose any new sanctions during the negotiations.
– Upon signing the MoU, Iran reaffirms its commitment to the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and confirms that it will never produce, develop, or acquire a nuclear weapon.
– Upon signing the MoU, the United States declares that it will provide Iran with half of its frozen funds, amounting to a value of $12 Billion, to be made available in a non-reversible manner within 30 days, with a commitment to make the remaining half available during the subsequent 60 days.
– Upon signing the MoU, the United States will issue sanctions waivers for Iranian oil, gas, and petrochemical exports, effective immediately, with a commitment to extend these waivers permanently once a final agreement is reached.
– Upon signing the MoU, the U.S. will begin immediate consultations with Israel to present a short term timeframe for a full Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, including points occupied following the 2024 Israel-Hezbollah agreement.
– Upon signing the MoU, Iran confirms it will reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial maritime traffic, according to certain specified arrangements determined by Iran, within 30 days.
Phase 3 | Negotiations on a Final Deal (60-day period + possible extension):
– The 60-day negotiating period will begin once all the terms of the MoU have been met in the previous 30 days.
– The 60-day negotiating period can be extended by mutual agreement of both parties.
– During these 60 days, the U.S. will make the remaining $12 Billion of Iran’s frozen assets available.
– During these 60 days, the U.S. will present plans for a reconstruction fund for Iran, amounting to a value of at least $300 Billion, funded partially by Gulf states.
– The U.S. and Iran will begin detailed discussions on a permanent solution to nuclear-related matters, including enrichment, the existing uranium stockpile, and the fate of the nuclear sites.
– The U.S. and Iran will begin detailed discussions regarding the lifting of all economic sanctions on Iran, including primary, secondary, U.S. and UN sanctions, as well as the withdrawal of all UN Security Council and IAEA Board of Governors resolutions against Iran.
– A monitoring mechanism will be established to supervise the implementation of a final agreement.
– The final agreement will be approved by a UN Security Council Resolution.
…
Reading comments in the mainstream media about the agreement, the consensus is that the “deal” is disastrous for America.
What do we learn from this? Iran made the best of a starting position that would have been absolutely fatal for any other state.
(1) Uprisings early in the year due to the catastrophic economic and environmental situation in Iran. (I assume it wasn’t about the headscarf.)
(2) Tiananmen Square-style massacres during the brutal crackdown on those uprisings.
(3) A conspiracy by Netanyahu, who finally gained the ear of an erratic Trump who wasn’t listening to his advisors.
(4) A decapitation strike that killed not only the Ayatollah and many of his family members but also numerous high-ranking regime officials. It remains unclear whether the bombing of the girls’ school in Minbar was intentional in order to terrorize the population.
(5) Massive destruction of civilian infrastructure alongside the bombing of missile launch sites and nuclear facilities. Damage to numerous historical sites.
It is highly remarkable that, after all this, the world holds the view that Iran is emerging from the war strengthened. We should immediately begin to analyze this critically. Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Pete Hegseth must be held responsible for the disaster. They have launched an unprovoked war of aggression—an act that violates international law.
Furthermore: US-Israel relations have not just cooled but devastated. The Gulf states feel abandoned by the U.S.
The Strait could (and would) be closed again overnight.
15 June 2026 @ 18:22 UTC+2.
Last modified June 15, 2026.